Monday, March 4, 2013

Here come the thrillionaires

Ian Henderson finds out what thrill-seeking billionaires have to offer the rest of us.

This article first appeared in Sphere magazine



If you had more money than you knew what do with, what would you do with it? You’ve got the houses all over the world, the McLaren and the Lambo, the Picassos and the Rothkos, the longer and longer yachts, the football team, the toys … what then? What happens when simply shopping is no longer enough? Where does upward mobility end?

For a very few it simply continues, straight up. Up past where the Gulfstreams fly, to where childhood dreams lie among the stars. Dreams of travelling to Mars, of mining limitless resources in the asteroid belt, of a new future for mankind. And for the very, very few, huge wealth means those dreams can be made real. These are the thrillionaires, the multi-billionaires who are investing in the ideas and inventions that will define all of our futures.

The word thrillionaire seems to have made its first appearance in the New York Times in 2005, in an article by John Schwartz, about Microsoft co-founder Paul Allen. Allen grew up watching Armstrong and Aldrin land on the moon and realised early on that to continue what author John Wyndham called ‘the outward urge’ - mankind’s quest to go beyond his village, continent or planet – private enterprise would have to step in. Once Microsoft had become the world’s largest company, Allen was able to use the wealth it created to fund SpaceShipOne, the first independently-financed vehicle to go into space and the winner of the Ansari X Prize.

Allen is far from alone as an investor in a more ambitious future. Currently the best-known of these thrillionaires may be Elon Musk, the creator of PayPal and now founder of SpaceX, a private spaceship maker that has won contracts from NASA to launch the next generation into space. It’s already the first private company to recover a space vehicle from orbit – something not many countries have managed – and expects its first manned flights in 2015. Musk clearly has a profit motive (NASA pays well for its services), but when asked why he’s investing his billions in SpaceX rather than other, more earthbound ideas he says, “Sooner or later, we must expand life beyond this green and blue ball—or go extinct."

He’s a billionaire inventor, engineer and visionary, and space is not his only goal. Musk also founded Tesla Motors, the first viable all-electric vehicle manufacturer – and the first to build a truly sexy non-polluting sports car. Less glamorous but possibly more important from an investment point of view is SolarCity, another of Musk’s creations. It’s a pioneer of mass-affordable clean energy; safer than nuclear and less polluting than carbon fuels. Through Musk’s charitable foundation SolarCity has exported its technology all over the world including to the earthquake and tsunami-wrecked city of Soma in Japan and to US towns devastated by Hurricane Katrina. Elon Musk is still only 41 years old and has already been applauded as one of the most influential figures of the 21st century.

More groovily still there’s an easily-missed scene in Ironman 2 where Robert J Downey’s  lead character, a thrill-seeking billionaire inventor, engineer and visionary (sound familiar?), walks through a restaurant and pauses at a table to acknowledge another diner by the fictional-sounding name of Elon. They briefly discuss Elon’s idea for an electric-powered jet aircraft; equally fictional-sounding, but another of Musk’s real-life projects.

Musk was recently asked if he was starting to feel like a modern-day Howard Hughes, subject of the Leonardo di Caprio film Aviator and one of the earliest examples of the thrillionaire breed.  Already one of the world’s richest men in the 1920s he conquered Hollywood, designed the perfect bra for film star Jane Russell, personally held the world air speed record, crashed into the Beverley Hills country club (designing the modern hospital bed as he recovered), built what is still the world’s largest-wingspan plane and created Trans-World Airlines. Small wonder that in later years Hughes famously became a reclusive obsessive-compulsive, sorting peas (his favourite food) by size, watching Ice Station Zebra 150 times without a break and being terrified of germs and infection. Says Musk, "I'm starting to hear the Howard Hughes thing quite a lot, which always makes me want to check my fingernail length and curtail any urges to pee in a jar."

Another emerging space entrepreneur is Michiel Mol, son of software pioneer Jan Mol, video game king, motor-racing investor and co-founder of SpaceXC. His criteria for what it means to be a thrillionaire are simple; “is it fun, is it meaningful and can I make any money with it?” SpaceXC’s re-usable two-seater spaceplane is called the Lynx, powered by four motors that can be throttled up and down in flight just like a jet engine. It takes off and lands on a runway just like the average billionaire’s Gulfstream too, but can keep going beyond the atmosphere, past the Karman line 62 miles up where space starts. In theory, the next-generation spaceplane would be able to take off in New York and land in Sydney only a couple of hours later, with far less atmospheric pollution. To Mol, this is more than fun; it’s a meaningful first step towards making travel sustainable for the future. And with a queue of would-be astronauts already paying $60,000 each for their flight into space starting in 2014, he’s quietly confident it’ll make him money too.

Not every space investor has the same views on how the infinite resources to be found beyond our atmosphere should be exploited. Besides the evangelism of people like Musk and Allen there are others who take a simpler, more old-fashioned view; if them there asteroids are full of gold we should simply do what humans have always done, which is to get out there and mine them for all the profit they can deliver. For anyone brought up on science fiction movies like Bladerunner and Alien, Planetary Resources is just the kind of understated, everyday name that an asteroid-mining company ought to have. And that’s exactly what it is; an asteroid mining company, backed by Google founders Larry Page and Sergey Brin and set up by one of the main theorists about what thrillionaires can offer to the rest of humanity, Peter Diamandis.

The hyperactive Diamandis – a medical doctor, space engineer, academic and entrepreneur – was also responsible for creating the Ansari X Prize, which as we’ve seen was won by Paul Allen (the way the thrillionaires, real and fictional, seem to be part of a club in Ironman may be fairly accurate, it seems). He also recently wrote a book called Abundance; The Future is Better Than You Think in which he argues that technology and innovation – much of it driven by the private sector – is going to unleash a tidal wave of benefits for mankind over the next three decades. Sounds somewhat Utopian – but he means what he says. In fact, he says he’s “pissed” at anyone who doesn’t believe it.

“My message is that the world is getting better than you think … By almost every measure, it is getting better,” he says. In recent generations, life expectancy has doubled and personal income has tripled he points out. Interestingly, he blames the fact that people are hard-wired to listen to negative news for the public’s generally pessimistic outlook – explained, he says, by primitive man needing to be aware of anything harmful, and why the world’s media tends to put stories of doom and disaster on the front page. Instead, we should pay more attention to technologies that are going for a better future – innovations like artificial intelligence and robotics to extend what we are capable of, DNA therapies to prevent disease, digital manufacturing that can make anything anywhere, nano technology fabrics that will mean people can take flight, fusion energy promises limitless clean power … All these dreams, he says, are within reach. They will lead to enormous social and corporate changes – but that’s not to be feared, but welcomed. It’s only our own pessimistic, wary, primitive brains that tell us to be afraid.

Of course, there are rational voices whose strong opinions that oppose such Utopian views.  Not everyone buys the idea that all human problems can be solved with more technology or by launching capitalism into space. Indeed, some would argue that by relying on more and more innovation we may be simply spreading the bad habits we’ve developed on Earth – pollution, strip-mining, and so on – to worlds other than our own. It’s the kind of dystopian future predicted in films like Ridley Scott’s Bladerunner – and of course, lapped up by our risk-averse brains. Even among the thrillionaire community there are strong voices arguing for another, more Earthbound approach such as Italian biodynamics activist Sebastiano Cossia di Castiglioni.

He shares with his fellow thrillionaires a passion and urgency for investing in the future – he was the first in Europe to order one of Elon Musk’s Tesla sports cars, believes strongly that solar and wind energy are the way forward, and has dedicated his Querciabella wine farm in Tuscany to a vegan biodynamic regime which uses no animal products and which exists in balance with the natural environment. (He claims that the regime shows a measurable positive impact on the environment, and the fact that he produces some of the world’s best wines without any of the fertilisers or chemicals many agriculturalists deem essential certainly helps his case.) Di Castiglioni is far less convinced about space mining or fusion power, but sees “positive signs of change” in a new generation of emerging entrepreneurs who, like him, believe that it is irresponsible to invest in anything without considering its ethical and environmental implications.

When talking about alternative visions of a better future for mankind, you’d expect some differences of opinion. But having that vision, having the determination to make it happen – and of course, having the means to do so – seem to be the main qualifications for joining the thrillionaires club. Our atavistic selves might worry and fret that these seekers after fun, meaning and profit will get us all into trouble – and of course, we might quietly enjoy watching those who fail, ending their dreams with madness, addiction and an unkempt beard lost in the jungle somewhere, rather than among the stars.


But Hughes, Allen, Musk and the rest of the thrillionaires are people who through a combination of talent, determination and opportunity are able to define and create better possible futures for the rest of us. They are the modern pioneers, and if Diamandis is right, they are the people who have already put the world in better shape than it’s ever been – and whose investment is set to make it better still.